Alex M Chubaty

The mountain pine beetle in a marginal boreal landscape: Cross-scale collapse triggered by population removal

The mountain pine beetle (MPB) exhibits all the hallmarks of a cross-scale disturbance agent, with nonlinear population dynamics driven by positive density-dependent feedbacks that …

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Climate-sensitive forecasts of marked short-term and long-term changes in the distributions or abundances of Northwestern boreal landbirds

Climate change presents a major threat to biodiversity globally. Northern ecosystems, such as Canada's boreal forest, are predicted to experience particularly severe …

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Will this umbrella leak? A caribou umbrella index for boreal landbird conservation

Conservation approaches that efficiently protect multiple values, such as the umbrella species concept, have been widely promoted with expected dramatic ecosystem changes. Due to …

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Climate-informed forecasts reveal dramatic local habitat shifts and population uncertainty for northern boreal caribou

Most research on boreal populations of woodland caribou (Rangifer tarandus caribou) has been conducted in areas of high anthropogenic disturbance. However, a large portion of the …

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Empowering ecological modellers with a PERFICT workflow: Seamlessly linking data, parameterisation, prediction, validation and visualisation

1. Modelling is widely used in ecology and its utility continues to increase as scientists, managers and policy-makers face pressure to effectively manage ecosystems and meet …

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Managing forest carbon and landscape capacities

Widespread impacts of a warming planet are fuelling climate change mitigation efforts world-wide. Decision makers are turning to forests, the largest terrestrial primary producer, …

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PERFICT: A re-imagined foundation for predictive ecology

Making predictions from ecological models—and comparing them to data—offers a coherent approach to evaluate model quality, regardless of model complexity or modelling paradigm. To …

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Assessing Pathways of Climate Change Effects in SpaDES: An Application to Boreal Landbirds of Northwest Territories Canada

Distributions of landbirds in Canadian northern forests are expected to be affected by climate change, but it remains unclear which pathways are responsible for projected climate …

tati-micheletti
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The R toolbox grainscape for modelling and visualizing landscape connectivity using spatially explicit networks

Networks are widely used for modelling landscape connectivity and have many ecological and conservation applications. The nodes in these models describe geographic locations (such …

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Cumulative effects research in SpaDES

Natural resource management decisions benefit from cumulative effects research that efficiently integrates scientific knowledge across multiple disciplines in a timely manner. …

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